May 31, 2008
When McArdle's Away . . .
the mice will blog about
whatever they darn well feel like:
I'm quite curious about how today's Latino immigrants will feel about immigration once they've been around as long as the Irish. Though perhaps we'll all be thinking whatever our robot overlords tell us by then.
Bonus: actual video of Megan, before her triumphant return; the guest-blogger of the day is Conor Friedersdorf.
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August 29, 2007
Well, Yeah—a Path to Another State is a Start.
And I think this will create
positive ripple effects. But I'd still like to see a path to citizenship, for those who merely came here to work their butts off. Call me sentimental.
Or: call me the kind of pragmatist for whom a two-pronged attack seems wiser than a frontal assault. (Isn't there an old saying about "good generalship"? Place that quote for me, please . . . AtH? Mr. Manitoba?)
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There are lots of them. How about this one-"To conquer the enemy without resorting to war is the most desirable. The highest form of generalship is to conquer the enemy by strategy." Tzu Sun
or--"...
hus the highest form of generalship is to
balk the enemy's plans; the next best is to prevent
the junction of the enemy's forces; the next in
order is to attack the enemy's army in the field;
and the worst policy of all is to besiege walled cities.
Maybe someone else can do better.. .
Posted by: Darrell at August 29, 2007 08:42 PM (MV6vu)
2
If "The Art of War" quotations won't do, how about "From my own lowly perspective, I've always found that good generalship involved having a plan that didn't suck. Especially in retrospect." DLS
Posted by: Darrell at August 30, 2007 11:11 AM (NTPAj)
3
I would prefer that their first act not be of violating the laws of our nation. Any idea of what happens if you violate the immigration laws of Mexico? They build FENCES on their southern border. Its ridiculous. Send them back then let them apply LEGALLY. If I have to obey all of the @$%**^ laws, so do they, Let me pick the laws I don't want to obey.
Posted by: RWB at September 02, 2007 04:56 AM (jaO5K)
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May 31, 2007
A Fight I'd Like to See:
The
National Review guys against the
WSJ. On immigration, no less. Be still,
my beating heart.
I must admit: the more I find out about the bill currently on the table, the less I like it. Would someone leak the damned text online?—all 1000 pages of it? Come to think of it, that should be done with all bills these days. Otherwise, you know: we might conclude that our legislators have something to hide.
I'd hate to see things go that way.
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May 23, 2007
"All We Are Saaaayiiinngg
. . . is give wetbacks a chance."
Or, at least Hugh at Big Lizards is suggesting that we give the immigration bill a chance: no contempt prior to investigation, right? And more hard data on its actual provisions is here.
So that makes, what?—eight of us slightly right-of-center bloggers whose heads are not about to explode over the immigration bill? There's the Anchoress, Beth, Sean, Hugh, Captain Ed, Jonah Goldberg (to some degree), Desert Cat, and me.
Hey—I think most illegals do end up assimilating. So I guess that makes me part of the "Coalition of the Instillin' [of American Values]."
Still: there ain't many of us. Maybe we need a cute icon, like a mortar & pestle with some delicious salsa or guacamole in it. Or perhaps a margarita glass!
Or a slice of beautiful Mexican papaya—those things are about the size of my truck. Yum.
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"Slightly" right-of-center? Wa-ait a-minnit...
Come now, you know I'm nearly at the wacko libertarian-right fringe. ;P
Posted by: Desert Cat at May 23, 2007 05:55 AM (ogl5V)
2
Now, now, darlin'. It ain't the assimilation; it's the border. Even we hard-righters don't mind having a few more good neighbors, but I'd sure like to see better locks on the doors down south.
Things are getting a mite crowded up this way, and I'm running out of money to pay for 'em.
Posted by: Woody at May 23, 2007 07:36 AM (9kYWY)
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Oh, I'm totally into enforcement. It's just that the "ship the existing ones back" idea sounds impractical to me.
It seems to me that we need to get a move on in processing applications from
legal immigrants. Like, really get a move on there. Faster, please.
And, yeah--the ones who are just here, leading quiet lives and paying taxes into fictitious social security accounts, should be brought out of the shadows.
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 23, 2007 08:34 AM (3F7vn)
4
Why is it that the right wing believes in the free flow of goods and money between nations and insists on removing barriers to trade, but when it comes to labor, the free flow stops and the "we gotta protect our borders" theme kicks in.
Why not in a free economy the price of labor be determined by global demand and supply? And labor be allowed to go where there are jobs and opportunities.
Or is it the case that some labor is more equal and desirable than others?
If America really believes in the free market economy, break down that southern wall and let that labor flow legally.
Posted by: Azmat Hussain at May 23, 2007 12:31 PM (s1AoM)
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As a legal Immigrant from Canada, married to a legal Mexican, he came in the legal way, the first thing he did when he came here was to learn English, had only English friends, etc...... I see from my husband's family, most of them haven't assimilated.... Most of his family that live here don't speak English.. alot of them got in on the '86 Amnesty deal, and haven't assimilated.
And as a legal Immigrant who jumped through all the hoops I resent those who don't have to. I'd love to skip out on having to pay my back taxes, especially... lol. As a legal immigrant I paid the fees, I had my AIDS test, I had my TB test, if I ever go on any government handouts my mother will get the bill as she had to sponsor me. Also, in the '86 amnesty I lost my Dual Citizenship... It's a slap in the face to us who came in legally.
Posted by: Leanne at May 23, 2007 01:57 PM (Q+cRY)
6
But surely the solution there, Leanne, is to make it easier and faster to process the legitimate applicants, like those in your family.
The dual citizenship thing is funny, because I know officially the State Department doesn't allow it, but it happens all the time. I have friends who still have passports from other countries.
And to be honest, I'm tired of hearing that illegals don't pay taxes. Of
course they pay taxes. The taxes are
withheld from their checks. The difference is that their social security is withdrawn, but doesn't go into a real account.
And please note that the current bill gives illegal immigrants plenty of hoops to jump through--including a requirement that they learn English.
The trick is to start sorting through this population. There's no way to make it completely fair to you, but we can make it safer for the rest of us, by sorting out the criminal element and the refuse-to-assimilate element, and giving the others a path to follow.
Otherwise, we will just have a caste system, which is anti-American and downright unsafe.
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 23, 2007 02:47 PM (VgDLl)
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Fine then, let the flood of 3rd worlders begin... just like after the '86 amnesty. That's what I'm afraid of.
I don't understand why the authorities aren't upholding the laws already on the books.... fining companies, deporting criminals, tighter border security (like the fence)....
I'm not anti Immigration... I don't see how we can keep track of people w/this new amnesty, when we have lost track of something like 600,000, if not more, as of the other day. I just heard today that it took 7 years to register the 2.7 million made legal in '86.
And you know the Democrats and La Raza are not going to go for the fees that is in this bill, they will be waived and deemed unfair.
You'd think they'd make some provision that Mexico has to make changes in their economy, so people can stay there, but, they'd rather export the poorest of the poor here.
And, all I know is that the illegals here in California are costing the taxpayers $10 billion a year... WTF???
I had made the comment about the back taxes, because it's in the bill they don't have to be paid.
Hey, I don't have the answers, I just don't think it's fair to all the millions around the world that are waiting to get here the legal way.
But, I like your blog!!!!
Posted by: Leanne at May 23, 2007 07:23 PM (Q+cRY)
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Leanne, I know it's popular to refer to this bill as an "amnesty," but have you actually looked at its provisions? Have you looked at the enforcement steps that need to be taken before any illegals can be normalized? Have you looked at all the hoops they have to jump through in order to receive citizenship?
I just hope you're looking at solid reporting on the bill itself, rather than the things being said
about it by people who insist on viewing it as 86 all over again.
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 23, 2007 10:30 PM (VgDLl)
9
Yes, I have.. and those hoops will not be hoops when all is said and done.
This might sound 'racist', but, I don't appreciate rewarding people who don't respect our laws and just barge in the country. And, as for 'doing the jobs Americans won't do', I drive up to Seattle from Big Bear CA 3x a year... we get up to Northern CA, and from then on, you don't see hardly ANY immigrants in the fast food places, I even saw a teenage white girl cleaning the toilet in a Dairy Queen, everybody speaks English, there's no biligual menu @ the McDonald's, etc. It's just an observation that's hard to miss... especially compared to life in Southern CA. Oh, and go to Bakersfield... my mother in law lives there.... there's a taco stand @ every single gas station on this one big street.... I don't mind, because I love Mexican tacos (lol)... but, it's too much. You see nice little towns turning into Barrios.
And why does anybody trust anything Kennedy has to say about Immigration... he's been in on I believe 3 different Immigration bills/laws, and they were total failures... promises never kept.... laws never upheld.
Posted by: leanne at May 24, 2007 08:18 AM (Q+cRY)
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The difference being that this time the promises are actually
written into the bill.
Does it give you any heart at all to see how upset your "opposition" is to this bill? Does it make you think there might be some merit in it after all?
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 24, 2007 03:45 PM (VgDLl)
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Re the opposition, what that means is they won't stop fighting after the ink is dry. Which means we have to keep fighting for the provisions that are important to us.
Which is why I can well understand some of the concern on the Right. Because the Left is relentless--more relentless than we are usually, we could see the guarantees/promises stripped out over time, between activist court decisions, and future "modifications" to the bill by the current Demo majority once it is signed into law.
1986 is a powerful argument in favor of this view.
Posted by: Desert Cat at May 24, 2007 04:17 PM (B2X7i)
12
But 1986 didn't have actual provisions for enforcement--just a vague I.O.U. "gentleman's agreement."
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 24, 2007 09:09 PM (VgDLl)
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May 22, 2007
The Anchoress
. . . on, of course, the
Immigration Bill:
John Podhoretz says there things to like and hate about the bill and heÂ’s distrustful of it, astonished by all the screaming, but doesnÂ’t mind if the screaming brings a better bill. I donÂ’t eitherÂ…but honestly, I worry that the screaming and foot-stomping, if successful, will become a permanent tactic of the hard-right, and then weÂ’ll have both parties constantly doing this acting-out-and-threatening stuff.
There does seem to be a sort of contest going on as to which group—the hard left, or the hard right—can be more immature. It's a sort of race to the bottom.
"Oh, my God! It's 1986 all over again! But this time, it's the end of the world!"
Well, no. And—no.
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This is all just a political game, America is not open to immigrants. I can share my own story, after living here legally for the last seven years paying taxes, social security and following all the rules, going through all the procedures, spending over twenty-five thousand dollars, there is no green card in sight. If anything there are more procedural road blocks and more money being given to the Lawyers.
Whenever, someone talks about amenesty or giving legal status to a bunch of illegals I am just rolling on the floor crying. The latinos are the new slaves of America, if you give them legal status they might start making minimum wages, and might even ask for benifits. It will not happen in this lifetime, otherwise we will have to go to a new country to get our slaves.
So please give us all a big break, the reasonable thinking people know what a farce all this is.
Posted by: azmat hussain at May 22, 2007 06:44 PM (mdszq)
2
Don't be ridiculous, Az--we'll always be able to find slaves/wage slaves. And if we don't, we'll just clone the poor to make more workers we can exploit.
Don't you know
anything?
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 22, 2007 07:45 PM (/obaa)
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May 21, 2007
Captain Ed
. . . on why the current immigration bill represents
progress, even if it doesn't offer perfection:
"It rewards illegal behavior; the penalty for illegal entry should be deportation."
There are 12 million illegals in the US. Let me explain how difficult that would be. In the first place, the ICE has to find them, usually where they work. They then have to build a probable cause for a raid and search warrants (unless we want to toss out the 4th Amendment). That takes quite a bit of time; it might take months to build that kind of a case against an employer, but at least it will take a few weeks. Then they raid the shop, arrest everyone without proper identification, and start the deportation process—which requires a hearing for each person in court to determine their status. During that period, we have to house and feed them.
Now, let's say we can summon up the vast resources it would take to send 10,000 people a month through that long, laborious process. (In comparison, we have 16,000 murders a year, and it sometimes takes years to resolve the cases.) It would still take 100 years to deport all 12 million illegals in that manner—while clogging our courts, eating up our law-enforcement resources, and disrupting American commerce and politics for a century, all while we're fighting a war with radical Islamist terrorists.
Emphasis added; read the whole thing.
H/t: The Anchoress, of course. She's one of the maybe half-dozen bloggers considered "right-of-center" who still want to give this bill the benefit of a doubt, and keep moving forward. We are very much in the minority right now. (The comments to her post are recommended, btw: there is the usual "we are legal and we went through hell to get here, and we want everyone else to go through hell, too" non-argument, along with some interesting flashbacks to the Dubai Port deal flap, which was hardly the rightosphere's—or talk radio's—finest hour.)
Bottom line: I'm seeing a lot more emotion on the right regarding this issue lately than I am solid reasoning. And it worries me. Very, very much.
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Well I tiptoe just a bit on this issue, because it looks like what the Right doesn't want to have happen is likely to happen in some form anyway. And I'm not so sure that it will be a wholly bad thing.
Regarding "rewarding law breaking", sometimes it is the law that needs to be adjusted. That's one that too many on the Right have a hard time stomaching. I suppose this is where my libertarian leanings make me part company with the statist Republican mainstream.
As long as what we end up with is an adequate and legal means for employers to hire the help they need, and a stronger enforcement regime against those who continue to enter illegally, I'm likely to be satisfied. My larger concern is getting the border secured, and if that means taking the pressure off the border by creating a legal path to residency for those who previously violated that border, then so be it.
I'm not likely to be completely happy with the final result, but the status quo is worse than anything now being considered.
Posted by: Desert Cat at May 21, 2007 06:51 PM (ogl5V)
2
I have relatives in Asia who've been biding their time, doing
their paperwork, following the law. Suddenly 12 million
law-breakers are going to get in line in front of them.
It will take years to process 12 million sets of papers.
My relatives will die of old age before they get here.
(Hmm, maybe I'll adopt their kids.)
Whatever happened to "equal protection under the law"?
Also, why the left okay with paying illegal aliens low wages,
but Walmart needs to pay citizens higher wages than they do?
-Bob
Posted by: Bob at May 21, 2007 07:31 PM (aTv/9)
3
Bob the key is to make sure your concerns are heard. IF you have relatives in Asia that are in line then call and fight to get those concerns met in the bill.
It is not a reason to the kill the bill. This is a process and there is alot in this bill. THe 12 million here and the issues to deal with it are just a part of it.
Also remember that groups like FAIR. NUMMBERS USA, and CIS that is behind the opposition to this bill don't won't you relatives to come over either. THey are pretty much against all immigration even those legally. Something to keep in mind when picking alliances
JH
Louisiana
Posted by: jhood at May 21, 2007 11:09 PM (lrzQR)
4
Bob:
I know. I hate that. I, too, would like a system that doesn't suck. But in order to get one that
doesn't suck, we might first have to accept one that simply sucks less.
Theoretically, my friends-of-friends in Eastern Europe would be able to get here just as easily as those who are already in the Americas, through the accident of birth. But they cannot. Those who are born in the Americas have an advantage, just as I have an advantage through having been born here (through, BTW, no virtue of my own).
Desert:
Took you long enough to weigh in, here! I've been waiting . . .
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 21, 2007 11:28 PM (3F7vn)
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I hear very little discussion of what instantly legalizing 12 million illegal immigrants is going to do to this country's social services and the costs to the taxpayers.
We are not talking about 12 million skilled workers. For the most part, these people are poor and uneducated. They are going to be a burden on social services as it is, and I do not even want to think what is going to happen once the next recession hits.
Posted by: Mark at May 22, 2007 10:36 AM (HjIN7)
6
Almost all that I am aware of are working in the construction trades. Those are skills that are not hard to pick up on the job, if they don't already have them before crossing the border.
As far as the impact to social services, I'm not sure it would be much worse than right now. Even Arizona, with our propositions that were supposed to prohibit illegals from obtaining social services, still provide them as far as I know. Legal status hasn't been a barrier to benefits so far. Why would legalization change that?
Posted by: Desert Cat at May 22, 2007 06:56 PM (ogl5V)
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Actually if we can get them on the tax rolls instead of being paid under the table, it might be a wash.
Anyone done that analysis?
Posted by: Desert Cat at May 22, 2007 06:57 PM (ogl5V)
8
At this point--at least in CA--everyone needs a social security card to work, so people simply get fake ones. But the taxes and Social Security are being paid--just into bogus accounts.
Verdon over at Outside the Beltway did an analysis a while back that concluded that illegal immigrants were, in fact, a "net drag" on the economy, but I know for a damned fact that a lot of them do pay taxes--very often without receiving services beyond the routine health care they get at the county (which is a terrible thing: people going to the ER for routine care, which means it takes longer to treat real emergencies).
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 22, 2007 07:50 PM (/obaa)
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Not bogus Social Security accounts, STOLEN SS #'s. Stolen from real people--identity theft. Totally made-up numbers are discovered immediately. Numbers from deceased taxpayer also are red-flagged immediately. Real citizens find that someone else is making claims on their SS accounts, and it takes months to unravel. I knew someone who was injured in an explosion at work and found out someone was already receiving disability payments from his account. He was SOL, and it took almost a year to straighten out. The only solution is to let the people whose identity was stolen keep the excess contributions. Congress gives it back to the identity thieves under all plans. Examine those statements SS sends you every two or three years carefully. Report any inconsistencies immediately.
The latest trend with illegals are "hit and run" immigrants People that have no intention of living here permanently, and send 80-90% of their wages back to Mexico. They can only do this because "employers" are giving them room and board, usually in a cheaper single-family home that 15-20 workers use as a flop house. These people don't put any money back into the US economy, like a typical worker would do with normal spending. They pay little or no taxes because their wages are paid under the table, or they claim a large number of dependents on their W-4 to keep withholding down.
Posted by: Darrell at May 23, 2007 10:14 AM (kIf/q)
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Right, Darrell--and how to we sort out the abuses from the quiet people who are simply doing their jobs, and paying taxes? (And, for that matter, find out about the slaves and near-slaves living among us?--some of 'em actually physically locked into the structures they work from?)
By reducing the numbers of people living in those shadows. There is
no way to sort through that population properly without reducing it as we go, by creating a path to citizenship for the ones who are simply looking for work, and otherwise keeping their noses clean.
And for every person you point to who is claiming benefits he/she is not entitled to, I'll point to the ones who pay taxes, but never receive the actual benefits, because they are
illegal. The door swings both ways, there.
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 23, 2007 03:01 PM (VgDLl)
11
Why don't we just set a reasonable number for new, legal immigration that we can all live with? If you aren't happy with 2 million/year(2005, including status change), how about 4? 5? 6? Whatever. Make the process quicker/easier too. And advertise it. Illegals spend, what, $25k and up for travel, documentation now. None of that going to US coffers. Make the real deal a bargain. The people who live here now have to be in on that decision. And once made, we have to stop people from getting around the rules. However necessary. Doesn't that sound fair? Keep in mind that 2.5 million is about a 1% growth rate annually. No country in the world allows more. No country in the world has to. You may not want construction/factory jobs, but there are plenty of American-born citizens that consider these PREMIUM jobs. Like most of my family! Maybe that's why when that meat plant in Iowa was raided, 1000's of real citizens applied for those jobs. Including LEGAL immigrants! Heck, 4000 people applied at a new WalMart by my house about a year or so ago--in a single day. It made the national news. Not everyone can or wants to push paper/sell balloon juice for a living.
They all take more than they pay into the system, according to detailed studies that I have read. Schools, second-language demands, medical care are just some of the costs. Those combined with claiming married and 9 dependents for their W-4s, even when they are single, make it a greater burden to taxpayers. The only studies that say differently are agenda-driven, and they are pretty easy to shoot down. The last study from the University of Chicago I remember said it takes ~35 years(of working at their avg. tax rates) to reach payback(actual cost vs. avg annual tax contributions) for a typical illegal alien. And most left the tax rolls before that level was reached.
A local town recently passed a referendum simply stating that it Will follow and enforce Federal immigration law, and various groups are lining up threatening to bury them with ligation costs. The town's lawyers are suggesting that they ignore the referendum. Civil war? You betcha! The real reason behind the problem? You betcha!
You handle the 10-30 million illegal aliens the same way who handle thieves--one arrest at a time. And you don't do it by sending them a letter telling them to show up for a hearing, allowing them to run. Somewhere, every day, someone shows up on the radar in a traffic stop, data check, something. When they do, they should be taken into custody right away. And DNA taken. Maybe that's a way to handle that name-change problem. RFID chips, tamper-proof methods? Maybe. Along with border enforcement/prevention, eventually we can make LEGAL immigration a preferred option. Maybe. Over time. And we have to stop electing people that rope-a-dope us into believing they want to solve the problem. They want you to shut up about it. Like in 1986. After amnesty, did they do 1 thing to seal the border? Enforce the law? To prevent it from happening again? Remember foreign aid? Remember how the number-one gripe of US taxpayers used to be foreign aid in the 60's and 70's? Know how Congress got you to shut up? By transferring $trillions of cumulative revenues (by now to) Europe and elsewhere. Where did the money come from? US industry. They did it with clean air laws, unleaded gasoline bans, and metrification. Ever wonder why green-Europe didn't switch to unleaded gasoline until the mid-90s? Didn't ban most CFCs when we did~1971? Did you know that Japan was ready to switch to English units(inches, etc) if the US banned metric imports? (I talked to the MITI people that were ready to issue $billions in orders to US machine tool manufacturers) if Congress acted.(The US was their marginal market and they would have been driven into an immediate depression if exports stopped). Instead, US manufacturers placed $billion of orders with Japanese/European machine tool manufacturers to get metric equipment. Did you know the US chemical industry had a 90%+ share of the world chemical market? Did you know they actually had people employed to make sure that share didn't rise?(I interviewed for one of those positions). Did you know about the 100s of $billions the oil refiners had to spend on higher-temperature/ higher-pressure processes to produce unleaded gasoline that the rest of the world didn't have to invest? Look up today's US share of the world chemical market... All on US industry's back. Thanks, Congress! Set whatever pollution laws you want. But make everyone join in. Or wait until they do. But you didn't want that, did you? Or to explain foreign aid.
Maybe 30 million quiet, hard-working Americans, along with a token 150 million rural Chinese would like to join me in Mexico, to work for a better life. Under Capitalism this time around. I bet in twenty years, we'll be building a fence. Heck, the way things are going, make that 2008. Note to my Chinese friends, because of concerns with Chupacabras, stop at you local arms factories and pick up some personal protection to bring along. And extras. Don't forget all those specialty places like the "123 Factory," "7103 Factory," and a few of those other places in the Chengdu and Sichuan Provinces. Don't forget the special toys you'll find there. Everyone needs protection to build a dream.
Posted by: Darrell at May 23, 2007 09:40 PM (d/aUJ)
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Darrell, if we make enforcement a priority and make it easier/faster to get here properly, I'll be a very happy camper.
Have you read American Alone yet? There are a number of other ways in which the U.S. subsidizes the rest of the world that you didn't even touch on--but Mark Steyn enumerates.
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 23, 2007 10:40 PM (VgDLl)
13
My usual rant on this subject is the length of a book. And, of course, you have to touch on global warming. If only to show that these things continue. And the real reason for the hysteria. I didn't read Steyn(thanks for the tip), I lived it. All this money involuntarily confiscated from American industry(with a simultaneous windfall profits tax in place, no less) was designed to buy the world's love. That worked out great, didn't it?
In our next lesson, we will talk about when the Euro was issued with its value set at one US dollar. The markets quickly set the real value at 50 US cents. What changed? And we never even got a "thank you!". . .
Posted by: Darrell at May 24, 2007 07:50 AM (KgDxt)
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Conservatives Are Still Pissed.
John Hawkins is
threatening a "scorched earth" policy, involving "Google bombs" (something every legislator dreads, I'm sure).
I had dinner with Justene (of The Bear Flag League) last night, along with our husbands and a few other people—including She Who Will Not Practice Law. Justene and I agreed that although we hadn't studied the immigration bill thoroughly enough to have an informed opinion yet, it was very promising that both the left and the right were pissed about it.
I'll post more on it once I've had a chance to actually review the sucker. Though, as with all bills, there may be just a bit too much of it. Thanks to N.Z. Bear, whose dishy picture adorns the inside of many a Cotillion girl's locker door.
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May 19, 2007
Check Out the Anchoress!
She's got it
goin' on.
She also agrees with me that we might want so start somewhere realistic in dealing with the immigration issue . . . which, you know—that's an idea some should definitely ponder.
Unless they prefer to sit around wringing their hands, and getting angrier by the day.
(News of the Anchoress' redesign reached me via My Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy.)
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1
How about some elements in the new plan that makes it MORE UNLIKELY to happen in the future?
1) Higher penalties ($) for those that broke the law. Penalty should be based on the length of time here. Higher future tax rates?
2) People whose identities (SS #s) were stolen (10-30 million of us--fake nos. are caught immediately, as are deceased taxpayer's)--get to keep contributions made by illegals.
3) Children of illegals are NO Longer automatic citizens. Children of LEGAL aliens are, when born here.
4) No voting for illegals. Ever. You took away our choice, we take away your voice.
5) Start a rumor than illegals' organs are fair game for transplant surgeons. And CIA Chupacabras.
Posted by: Darrell at May 20, 2007 02:09 PM (B7Ka6)
2
Change "than" to "that" above in No. 5 ...
Posted by: Darrell at May 20, 2007 02:18 PM (a0ei7)
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Darrell - We were promised "enforcement" in 1986 as well. You guys want to tell me how wonderfully that worked out?
Fool me once, same on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.
Posted by: MCPO Airdale at May 20, 2007 04:06 PM (Sd0Sv)
4
Self-evident truths--
If Ted Kennedy is involved in an immigration bill, it is a piece of crap.
What's the rush? Go back to the drawing board and come up with something that at least appears to offer a solution. 1986 was the one-time "feel good" compassionate solution. This time it has to be tough love. And any legislator that facilitates breaking the current law should face immediate charges and jail time.
Oh, and that fence idea? Go back to the drawing board on that, too. Come up with something that $10 Chinese bolt cutters won't make ineffective.
Posted by: Darrell at May 20, 2007 08:29 PM (nP3l/)
5
Oh, and a note to Jimmy Carter--
Silly! You can't pass your title of being "the worst American President EVER" yourself! That's our job! You'll always be Number 1 in our hearts!
Btw, I hope you've considered cremation as a means of foiling the subterranean, un-dead, tunneling bunnies. As an 'engineer,' I'm sure you have. Contact me and we'll compare notes.
Posted by: Darrell at May 20, 2007 09:01 PM (nP3l/)
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May 18, 2007
Ace on Immigration Reform
Strong
feelings, here: he's encouraging people to leave the GOP over this issue. Of course, if that happened, there'd be no one left but us little old libertarians, and we could, like stretch out a bit.
But, here, a ray of light:
Again, I'm not really bothered by the amnesty part. I mean, that's a given. What else are we going to do, realistically?
But I refuse to grant amnesty unless I get my part of the quid pro quo first. Amnesty is acceptable only if it's the last amnesty, and the government needs to secure the border, finally, to prove that.
12-30 million new American citizens I can accept. The problem is the 40-60 million to almost immediately follow. Amnesty, if necessary, but as a one-time deal, and I'm going to need some serious evidence to show it's a one-time deal rather than an ongoing cycle of runaway illegal immigration followed by periodic amnesties.
No one gets their side of the quid pro quo first, Ace: it's like a drug deal. The money and the stuff have to show up simultaneously, or the transaction doesn't take place.
No one trusts anyone in politics. Nor should they.
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Ah, but the '86 deal is already done, so now it's our turn. Besides, building a fence 1) won't happen overnight, 2) still leaves open the legal entry points, and 3) won't have any practical effect on those illegals already here, unless they want to complain that it's now harder to treat the border like a revolving door.
Posted by: Fred the fourth at May 20, 2007 09:03 AM (FlaXP)
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--unless they want to complain that it's now harder to treat the border like a revolving door.
--
They are, the Mexican gov't is disappointed in the bill.
Posted by: Sandy P at May 20, 2007 04:02 PM (P7TI9)
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May 17, 2007
Immigration Compromise Reached in the Senate
And it looks like the approach is somewhat holistic, which is all I asked. (Well—it's one of the things I asked.) Details so far are
sketchy. For instance, when we ask people with high-level skill sets to return to their countries of origin in order to become citizens here, how long do they have to stay there? And who covers their jobs or runs their businesses while they are gone?
This would explain why John McCain wasn't available for his periodic blogger conference call this morning, of course.
The fact is, we had to do something about this, and preferably in a way that didn't create perverse incentives for more people to come here simply because some magical "window of opportunity" might close soon. Not because the system wasn't working previously: in a sense, it's been working all along, in its own messy way. But the "don't ask, don't tell" approach has been expensive in some respects, and—more importantly—it's just too risky for us to have porous borders in this day and age.
The "back door" into this country must close, and part of the solution is to make it easier for people to get here legally. We must cut down on that red tape, or the whole thing falls apart.
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I would have preferred standalone legislation be passed that everyone already in line - the legal line - be granted citizenship.
After that, and only after, we should be discussing what to do about the illegals here. But handling it this way is a slap in the face of those who have been trying to do it the right way, and sends the message that "hey, it was okay that your first act in our country was to flout the most basic of our laws - those respecting citizenship."
I'm less than thrilled right now.
Posted by: Rocketeer at May 17, 2007 01:37 PM (GFaLW)
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Come on, now: if you were living a hand-to-mouth existence in rural Mexico, and you knew that this country made it very difficult to get here legally—and yet whole sectors of its economy depended on your coming here—what would you do, if the opportunity for a better life presented itself?
There is nothing more "basic" about citizenship laws than any other laws, and to maintain that a person's responsibility to a foreign bureaucracy trumps his/her obligation to make a better life for his/her children is fundamentally unserious.
Tell me, Rocketeer: have you ever broken the law? Was it okay because it wasn't one that you proclaimed to be "basic"?
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 17, 2007 02:19 PM (3F7vn)
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"Tell me, Rocketeer: have you ever broken the law? Was it okay because it wasn't one that you proclaimed to be "basic"?"
Speaking for myself, I can't say that I've never broken any law, but then again after I did I didn't expect to be rewarded for my transgression.
Posted by: Sephiroth at May 17, 2007 04:44 PM (NnjiW)
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"Come on, now: if you were living a hand-to-mouth existence in rural Mexico, and you knew that this country made it very difficult to get here legally—and yet whole sectors of its economy depended on your coming here—what would you do, if the opportunity for a better life presented itself?"
Then where exactly does this obligation end? There's anywhere from 2.0 to 2.5 billion people worldwide who subsist on less than $2 a day - less than even the poorest Mexican - do we have a responsibility to provide "opportunities" for all of them as well?
Posted by: Sephiroth at May 17, 2007 04:55 PM (NnjiW)
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No. But if we do for our own self-interest (because we need the labor) we oughtn't to turn around and pretend that we didn't.
I'm not thrilled with the idea of blanket amnesty, but I'm against the game of make-believe that we've been playing for decades, in which we offer people a sort of shadow existence here to keep the economy turning, but pretend that it isn't so.
Can't we start by being honest about this?
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 17, 2007 06:56 PM (3F7vn)
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Of course not. But if we provide opportunities by dint of needing cheap labor, it's rather unbecoming for us to turn around and complain that we've been Victimized! By! Those! Dirty! Illegals!
All I ask for is a little bit of honesty: willing buyers of labor have employed willing providers of labor, and the U.S. Government has looked the other way.
The illegals aren't dissing us--they're operating within the parameters we've set down for working here. "You, there--you give us your labor, and we'll give you a shadow existence in the richest country in the world."
Why does everyone want to lie about this?
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 17, 2007 07:34 PM (3F7vn)
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"We" didn't agree to allow the illegals to move here, the globalist political and economic elite of this nation did that for us. True enough, the voters are partially guilty insofar as they didn't bother to pay sufficient attention to this issue, but nonetheless society at large never actively consented to the current
de facto open borders regime; therefore it's rather senseless to claim that "we're" going back on our word (which we never gave) to the illegals.
Nevertheless, it's a farce to claim that America "needs cheap labor." If the market clearing price for unskilled labor would be,
arguendo, $12 an hour without illegal immigrants instead of the current $7, then that's the legitimate price for that commodity. I fail to understand how a state policy that's designed to reduce the incomes of our poorest citizens even lower than they already are so the wealthy and middle class can pay 10% less at the grocery state could possibly be described in any way as "moral." The state goes to great lengths to protect high-income physicians and attorneys from foreign competition, but cashiers and janitors are fair game. It's absolutely insane.
Posted by: Sephiroth at May 17, 2007 08:49 PM (NnjiW)
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One last thing: the common claim that produce will increase in price fourfold without illegal alien labor is nonsense. Even if we assume that unskilled labor is 100% of the price of food then wages for menial workers would have to increase fourfold as well, to around 20-28(!) dollars an hour. If that labor is 50% of the cost then wages would have to increase
sevenfold to around $35-50/hour. (!!)
As it stands, unskilled labor is only 5-10% percent of the cost of most agricultural products. Even if low skilled wages doubled to $15/hour (which they won't of course, but it would be good for the country if they did) grocery prices would only increase by 10-20% or so. It would be a small price to pay to virtually eliminate working poverty overnight, if it were possible of course.
Posted by: Sephiroth at May 17, 2007 09:03 PM (NnjiW)
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Come on, now: if you were living a hand-to-mouth existence in rural Mexico, and you knew that this country made it very difficult to get here legally—and yet whole sectors of its economy depended on your coming here—what would you do, if the opportunity for a better life presented itself?
Quite a bundle of assumptions you've thrown in there, pell mell. But I'll bite nonetheless. In short, I'd stay the heck home, work my rear off to improve my lot, and fight to change things for the better. Are Central and South America's political and economic dysfunctions our problem to address, here,
domestically? They're not.
Can't we start by being honest about this?
"We?"
We?
Let me take this oppotunity to correct you -
I'm not the one that's encouraged lax enforcement for the last 2 decades. I've been yelling about it for quite some time. I've been honest; those who have winked and nodded at the problem have not. Forcing me and others like me to acquiesce to a horrible solution to the problem others have
created despite repeated warnings
they were creating it is not forcing me to "be honest," it's coercive and anti-democratic.
Posted by: Rocketeer at May 18, 2007 04:44 AM (EgUDX)
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Victimized! By! Those! Dirty! Illegals!
Let me also say I'm less than thrilled by the implication that opposing amnesty for those who have violated our immigration laws is somehow xenophobic is offensive, and frankly I'm disappointed in you.
Posted by: Rocketeer at May 18, 2007 04:48 AM (EgUDX)
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Rocket--
I'm disappointed every time I hear this discussed on the radio, and someone calls in to complain that they don't like taco stands, or people who speak Spanish, and the host or hostess--generally someone whom I feel some sympathy with on other issues--doesn't correct them.
Seph--
It sounds like you have mixed feelings about capitalism itself--or perhaps I'm misreading you.
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 18, 2007 08:32 AM (3F7vn)
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"It sounds like you have mixed feelings about capitalism itself--or perhaps I'm misreading you."
No, not really, but all the same I don't want to crash the wages of unskilled workers through the floor, if for no other reason I don't want to see American Hugo Chavez rise to power.
Posted by: Sephiroth at May 18, 2007 11:24 AM (NnjiW)
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 18, 2007 12:33 PM (3F7vn)
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In the immediate term, no, it's not very probable at all. However, if the future holds more illegal amnesties (and it will) and the unassimilated Hispanic underclass continues to grow then it certainly becomes a possibility. Whether our Chavez/Morales figure will arise due to a lower-class nativist backlash or if he's a Latino or Afro-American quasi-Marxist revolutionary is unclear. It really could be either at this point.
NB: Those who value a close relationship between the US and Israel (as a "paleolibertarian" I'm fairly ambivalent about Mideast policy) should be in the vanguard of the immigration reform movement.Polls consistently show that Mexican citizens and even Mexican Americans overwhelmingly sympathize with the Palestinian "cause," and as their share of the US population increases politicians will have to adjust their positions on this issue accordingly if they want to stay in office. A similar phenomena occurred in Western Europe a couple of decades ago. Israel in the 50's and 60's had substantially closer ties with Europe than it did with the US (something absolutely unimaginable to most people today); this orientation was slowly changed in the 60's and 70's by massive waves of Muslim, and therefore pro-Palestinian, immigration. Now Europe buys peace with its Muslims buy taking "equidistant" positions on the I-P conflict, and so too we will the Mexican element in our society.
Posted by: Sephiroth at May 18, 2007 04:42 PM (NnjiW)
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Seph--
Your argument about the Hispanic underclass growing depends on people coming into this country at a rate faster than they are lifted out of poverty. Which could certainly happen, but please note the unspoken assumption. There are a lot of wealthy Latinos in this country, and bilingual people are in huge demand in the job market.
I guess I'm having trouble reconciling your predictions of a huge "underclass" with the fierce work ethic most Latinos appear to bring with them to this country.
Also, your predictions of weakening ties with Israel depends partly on how these theoretical future immigrants interpret their religious faith, if any. Many Christians (including a good many Catholics) have a special feeling for Israel.
As Mexicans and other Latin-Americans come here they tend to absorb American values in a lot of these arenas, so it's not a slam-dunk that over the next few generations they would retain the same level of sympathy for Palestinians--particularly when they continue to see the Palis bombing innocent civilians.
In case you hadn't noticed, the Muslim extremists aren't doing a great job of P.R. these days.
Posted by: Attila Girl at May 19, 2007 08:24 PM (3F7vn)
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--In case you hadn't noticed, the Muslim extremists aren't doing a great job of P.R. these days.--
Sure they are, check out CAIR, Conyers bill, the mosque in Boston background and the hold up of protection from the flying imans bill.
The border will not be protected, EOS.
There was a story about the wine makers, they wanted the help to pick the grapes. France uses machines, they could use machines, but no, they must be picked by hand.
Posted by: Sandy P at May 19, 2007 08:45 PM (P7TI9)
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November 27, 2006
I Know It's Wrong of Me . . .
but I love Dennis when he's
cranky, which is of course most of the time.
Except for the obsession with you-know-what after it launched: that got boring in a hurry.
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April 11, 2006
Darleen Gives Me a Run for My Money
I've been meaning to link
this entry since the collapse of the Roman Empire.
And if I'm ever home in a state other than one of total exhaustion, I'll have a response for her.
But she most certainly makes good points. Why, exactly, did I think I could tangle with her?
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Good link, but read the comments as well. AND While there are estimates of how many are here (11M), the people here today are not the same people as were here six months ago. Many work a season or two, return home to Mexico, come back again the next year. Every time the U S has tightened up the border, The illegals here have stayed instead of cycling home. They've been too afraid they wouldn't get back in the next year. Border control, in earlier attempts, didn't reduce the number here, just the rate of turnover.
Those promoting tighter control address the economic impact: excluding the low wage pool will drive pay rates up until America's unemployed take the jobs (To be reflected in higher food costs, but accept that change as a correction), or until capital investment makes the work less labor intensive (Why mechanize while labor's cheap?). I think these analyses correct but incomplete.
While wages and prices would reach a new equilibrium, the higher wages would be a greater incentive still, to break in to America. A year after reaching a new equilibrium in the economy, we'd reach a new equilibrium in the influx/outflux of illegal migrants.
Look at the amounts they already pay to coyotes and DMV clerks. The price is commensurate with the risk. We can try to tighten up, but we won't shut it off. Illegal immigration will just have higher margins on lower volumes. And not much smaller of a pool here.
Don't focus on the borders. Let people who believe the solution lays there do what they want. Spend no effort or emotion supporting or opposing.
We need, more immediately, to control employment in the U S.
We need, more importantly, for Mexico to develop. Economically, Industrially, Culturally. Reform of their power structures. Government, political parties, machismo raza.
Vicente Fox is better than those before, and better than today's alternatives. But there's much more to do.
America could face this next century with less anxiety and more security if we had a strong, healthy, respectable neighbor to the south.
Posted by: Ed at April 12, 2006 07:49 AM (qCS9x)
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Geez, AG, you make me blush!
Ed, the problem is that right now there is no incentive for Mexico to change. Vicente Fox has even traveled to Canada with a "guest worker" proposal.
We have to tighten the border. Yes, it won't stop everyone, but if we at the same time invest in making our immigration system more streamlined and responsive, then there might be an incentive to go that route to citizenship than to cross back and forth for work alone.
Posted by: Darleen at April 12, 2006 12:04 PM (FgfaV)
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OT:
We're not ignoring you, the archive and comment links in the post just above are broken.
Posted by: Alan Kellogg at April 12, 2006 06:24 PM (RobY9)
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Your "comment" link to Wednesday's post isn't working. Or did you already know that? Don't you know that it is cruel to taunt? Of course 'we' "miss" you. But therein lies the dilemma...'we' want you to succeed in your current endeavor and there is nothing 'we' can do about your light posting. I don't know if methadone would cover that. I figured you would get your wind in about a week or two and find enough time for three short posts a day...About the same as before. And maybe add a few replies to the comments.
Posted by: Darrell at April 12, 2006 07:37 PM (bTiez)
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Let me guess you are busy working for Ms. Rice, making a power point presentation for the UN, showing some mobile labs in Iran? A picture is a thousand words.
That would be the only excuse you are allowed, for being behind in your blog.
Posted by: Azmat Hussain at April 12, 2006 08:42 PM (ZyAUY)
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Yes! and we are forced to scold you as best we can, just to contain our jazzed up giddy happiness for you. Because we wouldn't, you know, want you to figure that bit out. Blow our cool cover, and all. Eeek.
Posted by: k at April 13, 2006 05:16 PM (Ffvoi)
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April 05, 2006
Immigration Reprise
Glenn
publishes a handful of mail from people who are upset about our lopsided immigration "policy." But please note that a big part of the problem is how punishing the system is for those who want to immigrate "the right way." Fixing this is essential to the problem, which means we have to reform a bureaucracy.
And that's hard to do, but it's essential.
Right now, our attitude toward immigrants—whom we need, by the way, given our system of entitlements and falling birth rates—is, "welcome to the United States. Fuck you."
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Dang, another fine post. I'm with you on the reforming the current method of legal immigration and the fact that we need more immigrants to support Social Security and Medicare. That is one possible part of the solution.
Posted by: Steve at April 05, 2006 07:52 PM (gxkTC)
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"Right now, our attitude toward immigrants—whom we need, by the way, given our system of entitlements and falling birth rates—is, "welcome to the United States. Fuck you.""
Sorry you are totally wrong here. The United States welcomes immigrants. The problem I (and lot of people have) are illegal immigrants.
There's a difference between inviting someone into your home and someone moving in without your permission.
Honestly, there is a difference between legal immigrants and illegal. Legals ones try to assimulate. They try and learn about this country. Illegal ones don't seem to. You don't wave another country's flag if you are part of a new country.
So immigrants are welcome - my grandparents come over on boats. Illegal immigrants that break the laws coming here, that bypass people waiting in line are the problem.
Posted by: Nicholas at April 06, 2006 09:52 AM (0DrzM)
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Nixon,Reagan, Bush 1,Bush 2.These republicans are all the same. Deny responsibility, Deny accountibility, case in point,Mr. Libby. And all you guys are going to talk about is other issues.
Allow me to predict! Bush will deny deny deny, call Libby a liar and say that it was a miscommunication.
Posted by: Azmat Hussain at April 06, 2006 08:41 PM (hDmNj)
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Nicholas,
1) Would you concede that a legal immigration process that takes years and makes people jump through many hurdles unrelated to their level of security risk increases the temptation some may feel to circumvent the law?
2) Do you have anything to back up your assertion that the majority of illegal immigrants don't want to assimilate to American culture? Plenty of "illegals" speak English, for example. I realize that there are enclaves of people who only speak Spanish, but there are enclaves of people who only speak Korean as well. And Vietnamese.
3) Can you show me data that establishes huge proportions of those who participated in the protests organized by ANSWER were legitimately illegal immigrants? My impression is that a lot of young radicalized Latinos attended such rallies--students in particular. I suspect the vast, vast majority of the Latins at those rallies were legal. After all, real illegal immigrants aren't likely to go to rallies and call attention to themselves. Therefore, judging them by the actions of others who used them as a pretext for a demonstration seems rather silly.
If you have citations to back up your assertions, lay 'em on me.
Posted by: Attila Girl at April 06, 2006 10:29 PM (s96U4)
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"1) Would you concede that a legal immigration process that takes years and makes people jump through many hurdles unrelated to their level of security risk increases the temptation some may feel to circumvent the law?"
I do agree with this. Of course I want a million dollars too, instead of working for it, it could also be easier to steal by this example. Yes, I agree people want to come to America and some are willing to risk anything for a better life. Yes, the system needs to be overhauled. Agreed.
But because the system is broken do you "go around it" as millions of people have done? I will always had a hard time giving these people amensty ahead of the people working hard to come to the country the right way.
"2) Do you have anything to back up your assertion that the majority of illegal immigrants don't want to assimilate to American culture? Plenty of "illegals" speak English, for example. I realize that there are enclaves of people who only speak Spanish, but there are enclaves of people who only speak Korean as well. And Vietnamese."
Agreed- there are people that only speak Korean, Vietnamese, Polish and other languages. I could ask you to define "plenty". I lived outside of Philadelphia for 20 years (growing up). People spoke other languages but still spoke enough english to get by. I know live in Houston TX where alot of signs are in Spanish. In fact, in some spots English isn't even available. The name of the soccer team was changed because from 1836 (the year Houston was founded) because it offended Mexican people. The story in the Alamo is being changed in schools. They celebrate Cino Di Milo (Mexican independence day) here. Does Mexico celebrate the 4th of July? If I moved to France, would I expect everyone to speak English to me? Would I expect them to celebrate my holidays for America? No. I would learn their language and culture.
Why do phones ask you if you speak Spanish now? Why is Spanish on most menus? Koren isn't ,Chinese isn't (expect in some areas). Why are there Spanish TV stations? Why are driver liscense tests given in Spanish?
If you want to assimulate, you learn that countries ways. That's what the term assimulate means. Alot of people are not trying be it from fear of being deported, to wanting to reclaim for Mexico, to just not caring.
Can we at least agree that to do well in American you need to speak English?
"3) Can you show me data that establishes huge proportions of those who participated in the protests organized by ANSWER were legitimately illegal immigrants? My impression is that a lot of young radicalized Latinos attended such rallies--students in particular. I suspect the vast, vast majority of the Latins at those rallies were legal. After all, real illegal immigrants aren't likely to go to rallies and call attention to themselves. Therefore, judging them by the actions of others who used them as a pretext for a demonstration seems rather silly."
Again, since I don't lie in LA I don't have numbers. View Michelle Malkin website for info there. I can tell you about what's happening in Texas cities and Houston area. Where signs about - this city belongs to Mexico, or "Europeans go home" or where the US flag is burned. Actually, I have Latino/Hispinic friends. They are distrubed by what they are seeing. They are torn by alot of what's going on. Goes back to assimulation - you don't fly another countries flag if you want to join in this country. You don't burn the US flag if you really want to be here. A student here - right or wrong - burned a Mexican flag in respond to a US flag being burned. He may be going to jail for 3 days, which the others are free.
- Did you see the racial groups out there today? Black Panthers, CAIR, Socialist republic.
- Yes Latino's are hard workers, family oriented people. They have alot of admirable qualities and no body should be viewed on a small sample size. But, the news is not showing what is actually going in in these rallies.
- There is also alot of hidden costs not talked about - stolen social security numbers (the government doesn't care if 3 people are using your SS but your credit will be destroyed) , illegal drivers, welfare costs, hospital costs (I have friends who work in the hospital that talk about people just leaving after treatment which than has to be passed on to others).
- It makes you think, when the Mexican governments gives help brochures to get into the USA. That they have armed guards on there north and south borders but help their citizens sneak in (because the estimate is that 20 billion gets send back to Mexico which is about 6 % GNP)
- Yes, there are no easy answers. Sending everyone back isn't right either. Of course, a concern that no-one is really talking about is the US is again making another slave race. People who work cheap, expect nothing and can't speak up.
Thanks for the civil discussion. Good luck at the new job.
Posted by: Nicholas at April 10, 2006 11:51 AM (0DrzM)
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I just don't have anything to say. Not that it matters. Eh. I've just been staying at home doing nothing, but I don't care. That's how it is.
Posted by: Kaka44373 at April 20, 2006 01:52 AM (Ww5Aq)
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April 04, 2006
More on Immigration
Steve Verdon has an interesting
post in Outside the Beltway that reflects a lot of my concerns on the question of "illegals." Please note that I do not regard all those who advocate sealing the borders as racists, but I have yet to hear a conversation about this on the radio that doesn't accommodate at least a few racists. Very often, callers on talk radio will say the most disgusting things about Mexican-Americans without being checked whatsoever by the host. After all, we're "all on one side in this thing." Which presumably means we should tolerate the racists. It makes me queasy, to tell you the truth.
Verdon's focus, however, is on the cost-benefit aspect of illegal immigration, regarding which Darleen and I have been playing verbal volleyball for some time. (You'll want to note here that Darleen's non-racist credentials are impeccable, though I wonder if her saturation exposure to the Latin underclass occasionally informs some of her views.)
I continue to believe that in order to address the problem, we must 1) secure the border; 2) streamline the legal immigration system for those who truly want to come here and assimilate; and 3) offer some sort of guest-worker program for young people who simply want to be here temporarily to make a few dollars, and then go home.
Typically [this morning's radio] discussion was about little Juanito and how much money it costs to educate this illegal child in the U.S. school system. Nothing was said about the work that JaunitoÂ’s parents do and the value such works adds to the economy. Nothing was discussed about the taxes paid. The true measure of the costs here should be the net costs, not the total costs.
So how much are the net costs of illegal immigration? This report from the GAO from 1995 (pdf) put the net costs at anywhere from $2 billion a year to $19 billion a year with an illegal population of 3 to 5 million. So even if we take the worse case scenario of 3 million immigrants and $19 billion in net costs and scale it up to todayÂ’s estimated population (say 12 million) we are talking about $80 billion in net costs. A middle of the road estimate would be around $50 billion. Either way I see this as chump-change for the most part.
First we have to remember that the U.S. economy is well over $12 trillion dollars in terms of GDP. Or in other words illegal immigration is equal to about 0.64% of GDP. By contrast the U.S. budget deficit is ten times larger as a percentage of GDP. Spending for the Medicare Prescirption Drug plan is going to cost $18.2 trillion.1 And Medicare, aside from the prescription drug program, has a shortfall in the range of $50 to $60 trillion over the next 75 years. But here we are worried about chump-change due to illegal immigration.
This leads me to, “Why?” The only thing I can think of is that things like Medicare shortfalls are boring and dull. After all it requires reading actuarial reports, figuring out what the taxable wage base is, and looking at projections which brings in things like statistics and already 48.3% of the audience is on the verge of a coma.
Nice, Steve. Some of us were paying attention, there.
Illegal immigration on the other hand seems to touch off some sort of fear of people who are different. They don’t look like “us”, the don’t talk like “us” and they eat all that weird food and dammit I can’t read the signs over the stores that cater to their consumption! So illegal immigration gets lots of attention, but the complete shambles that things like Medicare are in are just ignored. If we could just stem the flow of illegals why economic nirvana would result. Americans would go back to hanging drywall, mowing their own yards, and chopping up chickens. I’m even sure that controlling the U.S.-Mexico border would reverse the global downward trend in manufacturing employment.[/sarcasm]
In short, I see all this handwringing about the U.S. becoming part of Mexico as nothing more than misplaced priorities by people who seem deathly afraid of people who are different than them. The response to the charge of racism is often, “It isn’t racism! We just oppose illegal immigration. And the costs are real.” Sure the costs are real, but they are much smaller when compared to other issues such as Medicare funding. And sure illegal immigration isn’t a good thing, but instead suggest a guest worker program (i.e. make those illegal immigrants legal) and you still get the howling. So both objections, IMO, while technically true are just rhetoric to deflect criticism and hide the rather disquieting aspects of the illegal immigration movement.
Okay. So he's just as turned off by the Latino = bad thing as I am, and it looms large in his argument.
But the cost-benefit thing is relevant, and the huge resistance to guest-worker programs does set off a lot of red flags in terms of some of us feeling that there's a huge xenophobia out there, and/or a huge willingness to ascribe the recession we just went through (over the past five years) to a phenomenon that's been going on in one form or another for decades.
Tag, boys and girls. You're it.
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Atilla Girl,
Hey thanks for the link and interesting read. I agree with your points 1 - 3. I think a national security approach to immigration works better and without the racist undertones that all too frequently I hear.
There is an interesting "literature survey article" from the Dallas Fed that I'm probably going to link to and blog about in regards to this issue. It looks at the costs as well as other issues (e.g. unskilled migrant labor might be a complement for skilled non-migrant labor thus raising the latter wage rates).
Basically the cost/benefit issue is complicated and it isn't something I hear many talk show hosts even scratch the surface of. Instead they go with the borwn = bad rhetoric that is all too common.
Posted by: Steve at April 05, 2006 01:15 PM (RHjU5)
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Or the "how DARE they?"
Or the "these people are ilLLLEEEEEGGAAAALLL!" (Yes. We knew that: hence the term "illegal immigrant." Pot's illegal, too, but plenty of people smoke it. Now what?)
Posted by: Attila Girl at April 05, 2006 03:56 PM (s96U4)
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How much would it cost to not educate little Juanito?
Posted by: Alan Kellogg at April 06, 2006 05:57 AM (uC/tz)
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I haven't been up to anything these days. So it goes. I can't be bothered with anything these days.
Posted by: Kaka59614 at April 20, 2006 01:52 AM (8A6vK)
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March 28, 2006
Immigration. Again.
Dafydd has a short
summary on the problem of illegal immigration.
The main problem WRT illegal immigration is that no one will budge an inch on either side: the free-market types won't concede that border control is a good idea in this day and age, and the border-control types won't admit that we depend on large numbers of immigrants to run most of the border states.
The problem can only be solved if the border is controlled, but legal immigration would have to be liberalized tremendously, and the extreme bureaucratic nature of applying for residency/citizenship would need to be likewise streamlined, so that legal immigration would become a realistic option for poor people in foreign countries.
In a world wherein it seems like a better bet to pay off a coyote and risk your life, versus entering this country through the front door, something is seriously wrong with our system.
And, no: I don't really want to pay $10 for a bag of lettuce. I really don't. We're writers in this house: our incomes are really unreliable.
And I'm not good at construction, so forcing the local contractors to hire citizens helps me not at all. Except that it decreases the likelihood that we'll ever be able to remodel—even if we're flush again—and strict controls on employers would mean that a lot of people in my neighborhood wouldn't be able to afford their gardeners any more, increasing the devastation during wildfires.
The problem needs to be attacked from both angles, but each side only sees through its accustomed prism.
UPDATE, 3/29: This would appear to buttress the notion that the overwhelming majority of illegal immigrants pay taxes—and suggest that many do not take benefits out of the system. I understand that some people's observations are going to differ, but I'd really like to get an idea what the big picture is—beyond anecdotes. ('Cause we all like to extrapolate from our own experiences, and that doesn't appear to give us much clarity on this issue.)
Gotta run.
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Bias aside, because, IÂ’m Hispanic.
I think good look at the protests in France of the last few days compared to the “Marches” from equally numerous Hispanics protesting, is very telling. The Marches were peaceful, nothing was burned and no death threats were yelled*. Mexicans and Latinos in general have high family values and are obviously hard workers so I agree with Dafydd’s summary. However, for a plan like Dafydd’s to work we would really need a “Wall" ‘cause the cost of protecting this border and preventing the hundreds of thousands that will amass trying to get through will be astronomical.
*Michelle Malkin managed to drudge up some pictures of a few Hispanic marchers with what I consider to be un-American messages. These few people need to GO! By surveillance fotos, whatever, they need to be tracked down and If they are illegal aliens, spreading this kind of message, then they are persona non-grata and out they go. Rotten Apples!
Posted by: Yolanda at March 28, 2006 07:58 PM (1sZay)
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Well, that's the shame of it all: each side's plan will only work if the other side's plan (streamlined legal immigration; a wall of some type) is implemented. And neither side will concede that
any part of the other side's program is necessary, or even workable.
So it's a standoff.
Posted by: Attila Girl at March 28, 2006 08:27 PM (s96U4)
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Maybe, very small maybe a guest worker program akin to the Bracero program of the 50's might work (it was killed when Ike gave in to union aggitation).
HOWEVER, in the 50's there was little government freebies.
As much AG as you think you save by not paying $3 dollars/head of lettuce (I'll go hunt down the links, but IIRC the $10 figure is scaremongering) you are paying more in taxes and the huge strain in CA's infrastruction - insane waits at ER's, LESS ER's, crowded underperforming classrooms, almost erradicated childhood diseases making a comeback (whooping cough is being seen frequently at ER's now), higher incidents of TB and more scary, drug resistant TB, Hepatitus.
I don't blame many of the illegals who feel their only option is to come north. Mexico
forces them here...a nasty, corrupt government that counts on remittances from the poor they drive over the border. And in a viscious cycle, so many of the labor intensive businesses find they can't operate legally against the businesses that hire illegals for cash under the table.
They do jobs no one else will? Well, they are something like 25-30% of
the construction industry here in California. Skilled jobs like sheetrock, framing, rockwork etc at $15-25/hr.
If I had my druthers I'd immediately start busting contractors, confiscating their businesses and tossing them into jail. I'd make banks stop giving mort_gages to illegals.
Mexico has military troops that fire on US border patrol across the border in order to facilitate illegals, drug smugglers and others to get into the US.
This is a lot worse than a few strawberry pickers coming up for the season.
Posted by: Darleen at March 28, 2006 10:43 PM (FgfaV)
4
How would you feel about increasing the number of legal immirants, though?
(I didn't say $10 for a head of lettuce; I said $10 for a bag. Right now I pay $2.50, and I figure it could go up fourfold without cheap labor.)
And I don't begrudge illegals jobs in construction, as long as they have the appropriate skills. After all, they pay taxes on that money.
Posted by: Attila Girl at March 29, 2006 12:12 AM (s96U4)
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The most important thing is to get these people in the above-ground economy. Well, maybe not those people, but tsome number of people who would fill the jobs. The oldsters amongst us are cpounting on it.
For those who favor some sort opf guest wsorker program, check out Europe. I remember discussing with a German their "Turkish" problem. It seems that many turks living in Germany are third generation, can't speak much Turkic. WQhen the economy tanks, they are the first to lose jobs. There has been some move to deport them all back to Turkey. Unemployment and discrimination can cause lots of problems.
So any form of guest worker program, or any dealing with undocumented aliens noiw uin the US MUST have a pathway to citiaenship. this is especially true since, unlike Germany, the children born here will be citizens.
I say we treat 'em just like we did the Germans, the irish, the italians, and so on. You know, we make fun of them, abuse them, underpay them (but legally) and so forth, IN THE FIRST GENERATION, and they can survive the exploitation because they know that their dchildren will be assimulated into American society.
Those talking about the wall should ask the Chinese how well it works. Those who think that one can keep things from being sucked into the vacuum of demand should examine how well the stop it at the border strategy has worked in the drug war.
Note that treating the present surge of immigrants as we did the others will fill the vacuum (that's how we should decide how many to let in) so that illegal immigration will stand outy more, and be easier to detect. There will also be less ways for illegals to make money, so there will be less incentive. it would also hel0p if we exported moe jobs to mexico, but one gets one's head torn off to suggest such a thing. You know, if the jobs are there, and uyou don't want Mexicans here, send the jobs to mexico.
Finally, i feel i always must point thyis out: anyone proposing anything as a solution to the illegal immigrant problem who doesn't start with polifcing businesses is ignoring the problem.
Posted by: Averroes at March 29, 2006 02:59 AM (jlOCy)
6
AG
IIRC the "amnesty" that Reagan granted to illegals in the 1980's was supposed to be a "one time thing".
And the problem is that so much of the illegal employment is underground. They are not paying taxes. They take much more in public benefits then they give back in return.
I have no problem with trying to work out some sort of legal modern bracero program. But the people really suffering right now in CA are the working middle class that are squeezed out of skilled jobs, have their children trapped in overwhelmed schools, watch their taxes being and can't afford to buy a shack.
I'd dry up the incentive to hire illegals by targeting all the businesses that use them the most. Make public examples of arresting and prosecuting the employers and business owners.
By law they have to have on file proof of the citizenship of their employees. Papers not in order? Sorry sir, you're under arrest. Your business is now hereby padlocked and ALL employees legal and illegal are out of work..
The wink wink nod nod has got to stop now or So Cal will soon become TJ, with only the very rich and the very poor in residence.
Posted by: Darleen at March 29, 2006 07:07 AM (FgfaV)
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So it's a standoff.
I believe that would be a
Mexican standoff.
I'll be here all week, please tip your waitress.
Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie at March 29, 2006 09:47 AM (1hM1d)
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And I don't begrudge illegals jobs in construction, as long as they have the appropriate skills. After all, they pay taxes on that money.
Really, where? keep in mind that they're here illegally, they're probably getting paid cash under the table, and there's most likely no record of them ever working on any given job site. The odds of them actually paying something like income tax is vanishingly small. I suspect that getting busted by the IRS is not high on their list of things to worry about.
Remember, that's what makes hiring illegals so tempting: no FICA tax, no benefits, no unemployment insurance and all the other little taxes that the employer is encumbered when they hire a citizen. Even if they pay 'em the going union-approved wage, they're still ahead of the curve.
Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie at March 29, 2006 09:56 AM (1hM1d)
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My Significant Other went through several years of pure hell dealing with the IRS on her way to citizenship, so I can sympathize with those who feel that the process of naturalization and citizenship ought to be more efficient and less degrading. That being said, I still feel the necessary precondition for reforming citizenship is
regaining control of our borders. Granting an amnesty in advance of tighter border security seems as dumb as announcing a “timetable for withdrawal” in warfare before you’ve achieved your military goals, and for similar reasons.
Posted by: utron at March 29, 2006 11:29 AM (VVBQC)
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And, obviously, I meant "I
NS," not "IRS." Although they're both pretty obnoxious.
Posted by: utron at March 29, 2006 11:31 AM (VVBQC)
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There is some employment that's under-the-table: baby-sitting, day-laborers, some cleaning jobs. But all restaurants, and all contractors, have to fill out paperwork that shows where their expenses (payments to workers) went, and needs to include a social security number or similar I.D. And taxes are due on that money.
Posted by: Attila Girl at March 29, 2006 03:24 PM (s96U4)
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But all restaurants, and all contractors, have to fill out paperwork that shows where their expenses (payments to workers) went, and needs to include a social security number or similar I.D. And taxes are due on that money.
I have little doubt that everything you wrote there is true. Of course the government wants their money (and now, if you'd be so kind).
Where does an
illegal alien obtain a taxpayer ID number that doesn't raise a little red flag saying, oh, maybe
illegal alien?
Posted by: I R A Darth Aggie at March 29, 2006 03:51 PM (1hM1d)
Posted by: CGHill at March 29, 2006 04:53 PM (tEfsQ)
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well I think this is not something new the problem has grown like fire because.. it is so easy to get in ... I want you to think about what is happening, Hospitals are going bankrupt, the jobs that the school kids used to get at buger places is now taken by undocumented workers,hey I am hispanic but I speak english. And what is going on is that they are not coming hear and becoming part of the US they are coming hear and bringing the crime the murder the rape the theft all part of there culture. now I guess its true they do pick fruit and I guess no one wants to do it ,,, Hell I would do it if it paid ok.. but hey dont we got machines to do that... and they let them vote.. Yes America its true ,they are used as voting blocks.so I think what I am tring to say is... Its kinda late to build a fence around the hen house ... All the hens are gone
Posted by: colorado at March 29, 2006 04:59 PM (52fjS)
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Oooh. Dark. I don't buy it.
Posted by: Attila Girl at March 30, 2006 02:53 AM (s96U4)
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June 04, 2005
Immigration and Abortion
I've been looking for a flashlight to shine my way through the fog of immigration. Here's
one, by a friend of mine who was ostensibly writing about abortion. Not so incidentally, she makes some good points about what amounts, in a lot of cases, to a
sub rosa system of indentured servitude.
Or: slavery in the present day in this country.
It has to stop, but I don't think the answer is to militarize the border and to kick all the "illegals" out of the U.S.
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That one made me think. On the one hand you have people so desparate for work and on the other you have many who take advantage of their desparation.
It all just sucks.
Posted by: Rightwingsparkle at June 07, 2005 11:07 PM (K1y/h)
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There's something broken in human nature.
Posted by: Attila Girl at June 08, 2005 10:28 AM (8e5bN)
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February 22, 2005
The Language of Politics: Immigration and the Blogswarm
One of those little things about political speech: the terms people use to frame an issue serves as a signal to the like-minded about where they stand. This phenomenon has its uses, but if you're writing about current events it never helps to persuade anyone to your point of view. Know the difference between cheerleading and persuasion; make it your friend.
For example, I have plenty to argue about with other SP Repubs in terms of immigration. Matter of fact, it's sort of an exciting time, because no real concensus has emerged among libertarian-leaning righty warmongers on this particular issue. Naturally, Malkin has persuaded a lot of people that the conservative approach—sealing the border, making sure everyone has to stand in line—is the way to go, but it's not really a done deal yet: we haven't tended to swarm one way or the other with respect to immigration policy, and people like Larry Elder and Desert Cat are still advocating a more flexible immigration policy that's libertarian in principle, yet common-sensical in its specifics. The President appears to be working toward this middle ground in his approach.
My sympathies here are with the President, but I listen to everyone. I have to say, though (getting back to my thesis) that whenever I hear the word "illegals," my mind tends to shut down: I figure whoever is throwing that word around is preaching to the converted, and I oughtn't to listen in on their private conversation.
Take-home questions for bloggers and political junkies:
1) When you talk, write, blog, or debate others on political issues, do you use terms that will be meaningful to them, or do you try to strong-arm them into thinking your way with your language?
2) Where are we going here regarding immigration policy? Is this something that the right side of the blogosphere (Malkin aside) hasn't focused on sufficiently? Discuss.
3) Who is doing the best job in covering this issue, other than the illustrious Ms. Malkin? Where are the best arguments for/against liberalization of these policies, a tightening of border controls, or some variation on guest-worker programs? How about amnesty—it that dead, or is there a good way to handle it?
4) When you think about immigration, are you driven by a) security; b) issues of fairness; c) culture and language; or d) economic concerns? How sensitive are you about cultural issues, and is this "fair game," or merely a reflection of prejudices? (That is, where do you draw the line between bigotry versus believing English should be the common language in the U.S. and/or wanting a certain "cultural imprint" on immigrants?)
5) How do immigration concerns in the States differ from those in other Western nations?
UPDATE: Steve at Secure Liberty has some practical, hard-headed suggestions for getting our arms around this problem. However, one element in his plan contains a small measure of "amnesty," a dicey concept (and also a good scare word for the anti-"illegal" hysterics).
And that's the problem at the heart of this: one side insists that we militarize our borders, and throw anyone out who didn't originally come here legally—no matter how long they've been here, how hard they've worked, or how clean a life they've led. The other side wants to ignore the problem entirely.
And, yes, at the fringes there are people who are simply turned off by Latin American culture and want it out of their cities. And at the fringes of my position there probably are corporate interests who want cheap labor, no matter what.
It's another "third rail" issue, for sure.
One more thing: for those of you who insist that this has to do with the "rule of law," and people following the rules no matter what it means to their families' lives, I'm just wondering if your grandparents were adults during Prohibition.
Are you sure they never took a drink? Positive?
How about you? Ever try pot? Not once?
Rule of law, Baby: it's a bitch.
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Political Speech
If I worry about how I'm going to say something I wind up fumble typing. So I just say it.
Posted by: Alan Kellogg at February 23, 2005 06:46 AM (gy/JT)
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Good take home questions but I'll have them here, thank you. I think that the approach we should take to immigration is to decide what kind of country we want to live in and tailor our policies to that end. How does that end up? Beats me—I haven't figured it out yet.
There is absolutely, positively no such thing as a natural right to immigration. The Universal Declaration of Human Rights does not recognize it. It's neither stated nor implied in our Constitution. It's not part of our tradition. Believing that there is anything other than a legal right to immigration is romanticization and fantasy.
So it's up to us. I don't much care if we have a lot of immigration, a little, or none. I don't care who the immigrants are (if any). There's only one principle I'll insist on: we have a higher responsibility to those legally inside our borders than we do to those illegally here or those outside.
Want a lot of incoming minimum wage workers to keep wages low? Fine—be prepared to give an extra helping hand to our citizens stuck on the bottom rung. Want to keep everybody out? Fine, too. Be prepared to pay for it and to deal with the consequences of a dwindling labor pool.
Posted by: Dave Schuler at February 23, 2005 09:12 AM (u/h/J)
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Preaching to the choir is something I wrestle with. I don't want to be the Daily Kos, because what's the point? Ideally a post is written in a way thay makes you see something new even if you don't agree with it.
I try to stay away from religion & abortion, because people have their minds made up. There was a terrible post awhile back on some site that purported to be 'fisking' a pro-choice piece. It was badly written, made no point, & would only have been read by someone who already agreed with the author. So why post it?
Pauline Kael was a great film critic who could make you think about a movie in a new way even if you disagreed with her. This is something to aim for. Anyone who's a talented writer has to realize they can manipulate words with or without integrity.
Posted by: jeff at February 23, 2005 05:42 PM (+LmYV)
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January 02, 2005
Too Cool.
I made
Malkin's blogroll, despite our differences of opinion on how to fix the illegal immigration problem.
She even linked me a few weeks back.
Is this significant beyond my link-whorish existence? Maybe, in a certain symbolic sense: I wondered, after the last Presidential election, whether the neocons, more traditional conservatives, and libertarians who came together to re-elect President Bush would be able to get along at all after the task at hand was finished.
I've had a few spirited discussions lately on hot topics (medical marijuana, gays in the military) with some of the more traditional conservative bloggers and commenters out there, and I've been very encouraged by how rarely these talks degenerate into name-calling. It seems that most of us who would like to see the War on Terror won have been able to keep in mind how important that is, and focus in on it. We do need to hash these other issues out, and engage in the debates we are having now—but it needs to be done right.
Yes, I'll be doing more reading on the immigration issue. And I do agree that the existing "system" isn't any such thing, and is dangerous. So far, I'm pretty libertarian on the issue, and feel that a willing seller of labor and a willing buyer should be able to get together with as few restrictions as possible. (I believe people like me are called "Wall Street Journal" types, and there's usually some implication that we're blinded by our corporate financial interests, which I would desperately love to acquire—gas money for this month would be a nice start.)
But I'm willing to read and learn, and I'll certainly begin with Malkin's primers.
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