. . . speaks.

I suspect this guy is about to get trashed like a Bill Clinton girlfriend; the media will party like it's 1999.

Via AllahP at Hot Air.

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I love that guy.

h/t: Scumbucket, over at Rusty's site.

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It's like I just didn't let myself see it too clearly, or something:

h/t: Gregory.

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Via AllahP at Hot Air, who has a Fox News interview with Frank Luntz up about how effective this ad has been shown to be.

Apparently, Let Freedom Ring produces great negative ads about Obama. Here's another one:

I got a suggestion for you whiney, let's-give-up-now, we're-doomed-to-socialism bloggers: take these viral. After all, the average voter will actually be paying attention by . . . well, by Halloween or so.

Plenty of time to ejicate 'em.

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. . . gave me 27 Lunestas, because he's concerned about the "profile" of Ambien for "long-term use."

I told him I'd heard that Lunesta can leave a bad taste in one's mouth—even to the point of making food taste bad.

But I shall give it a try. Maybe tomorrow. Maybe next week.

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I trust that G-d will see to it that one of the following people show up, so that I don't cuss too much:

• The Stern Twin, who does not like to see her mother smoke, drink and cuss; nor her mother's associates. When we do, she gives us Stern Looks.*

• Baldilocks. Every time I cussed at the Palin rally (and the bloggers' "afterparty") the weekend before last she was able to point to a nearby child who might have overheard me. Eventually I realized that Juliette has a supernatural ability to transport children under the age of ten at will—provided someone in uses the F-word in her presence.

And it turns out that I used the F-word a lot. Who knew?

*The Stern Twin—whom I love as much as My Twin—always makes me think of this poem:

ON HEARING THAT THE STUDENTS OF
OUR NEW UNIVERSITY HAVE JOINED THE
AGITATION AGAINST IMMORAL LITERATURE

Where, where but here have Pride and Truth,
That long to give themselves for wage,
To shake their wicked sides at youth
Restraining reckless middle-age?
—W.B. Yeats

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it'll be too soon. Would you guys buck the hell up?

Grow a pair, goddammit. Testes, ovaries. I don't care: grow a couple of twin warts somewhere near your collarbone, for all I care. But grow something.

If I wanted to hang out with Eeyore, I would have bought myself a stuffed fucking animal, wouldn't I?

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Leftists are being told not to let "them" steal votes.

Mickey Mouse is concerned; animated characters have a history of being underrepresented at the polls in any event. It's rumored that Hanna-Barbera characters will be especially hard-hit by voter fraud, such as we often see when nonexistent people aren't allowed to vote. Fortunately, ACORN is on the case.

Via Frank of America, who is considering taking me off his mail list, but can probably be bought off with a drink so we can continue using each other for oppo research.

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How fun. (And, as a reader reminds me—NOT SAFE FOR WORK!)

Make fun of the Bay Area all you want, but some of them aren't so full of themselves that they can't have a little good, clean fun by taking off their clothes.

There are worse things that people do for recreation.

I believe I may have an unusual number of friends who are nudists. Of course, I may also have a higher-than usual proportion of left-handed friends.

Too bad the next President isn't going to be a nudist. Somehow, that prospect would fill me with a wicked glee.

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says it isn't over until it's over.

[T]he latest Gallup tracking poll reveals that there are nearly twice as many undecided voters this year than there were in the last presidential election. The Investor's Business Daily/TIPP poll (which was closest to the mark in predicting the 2004 outcome -- 0.4% off the actual result) now says this is a three-point race.

This week also brought a reminder that Sen. Obama hasn't closed the sale. The Washington Post/ABC poll found 45% of voters still don't think he's qualified to be president, about the same number who doubted his qualifications in March.

This is seven points more than George W. Bush's highest reading in 2000 and the worst since Michael Dukakis's 56% unqualified rating in 1988. It explains why Mr. Obama has ignored Democratic giddiness and done two things to keep victory from slipping away.

First, he is using his money to try to keep John McCain from gaining traction. The Obama campaign raised $67 million in September and may be on track to raise $100 million in October. Sen. McCain opted last month for roughly $85 million in public financing, giving him less than half of Mr. Obama's funds for the campaign's final two months. Even with robust Republican National Committee fund raising to augment his spending, Mr. McCain is at a severe financial disadvantage.

So Mr. Obama is spending $35 million on TV this week versus the McCain/RNC total of $17 million. Mr. Obama is outspending Mr. McCain on TV in Virginia by a ratio of 4 to 1, in Florida by 3 to 1, and in Missouri and Nevada by better than 2 to 1. The disparity is likely to grow in the campaign's final weeks.

Money alone, however, won't decide the contest. John Kerry and the Democrats outspent Mr. Bush and the GOP in 2004 by $121 million and still lost.

Mr. Obama's other strategy is to do all he can to look presidential, including buying very expensive half-hour slots to address the country next week. He wants to give a serious, Oval-Office type address. This is smart. People appreciate Mr. Obama's empathy on the economy, but as they take a long look at what he wants to do about it, they will be less impressed, especially if Mr. McCain draws sharp contrasts with clear policy proposals.

Mr. Obama is trying to make the case that his lack of experience or record should not disqualify him. But in doing so, he seems to recognize that the U.S. is still a center-right country. His TV ads promise tax cuts and his radio ads savage Mr. McCain's health-care plan as a tax increase. It's a startling campaign conversion for the most liberal member of the Senate. We'll know on Election Day if he is able to get away with it.

My emphasis.

I know I'm in the minority, but I still think "no." This depends partly on whether people can bring themselves to believe this "tax cuts" nonsense. If they remember the Clinton years, they'll be skeptical: the economy was healthy during the Clinton Administration despite his tax cuts, not because of them. Raising them now <>would drive us into a recession.

Similarly, Mr. McCain appears to be making three important course corrections. First, he and Gov. Sarah Palin are sharpening their stump speeches so their sound bites come off well on TV. Gone are offhand remarks and awkward comments read from notes perched on a podium. In are teleprompters and carefully crafted arguments. Mr. McCain is also more at ease than before and has an ebullient, come-from-behind underdog optimism that will serve him well in the final weeks.

Certainly better than Obama's smart-ass smile did tonight. That was coasting, and McCain was right to point out that polish isn't everything: one must listen to a person's actual words.

Second, Mr. McCain is shaping a story line that draws on well-founded concerns about Mr. Obama's lack of record or experience. Mr. McCain is also bowing to reality and devoting most of his time to the economy. His narrative is [that] he's the conservative reformer who'll lead and work hard to get things done, while Mr. Obama is the tax-and-spend liberal who's unprepared to lead and unwilling to act.

Mr. McCain is hitting Mr. Obama for wanting to raise taxes in difficult economic times, especially on small business and for the purpose of redistributing income, and for having lavish spending plans at a time when the economy is faltering. He's criticizing Mr. Obama for lingering on the sidelines while Mr. McCain dove in to help pass a rescue plan, necessary no matter how distasteful. And he's attacking Mr. Obama for not joining the fight in 2005 when reformers like Mr. McCain tried to rein in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Mr. McCain's other adjustment is his schedule. His campaign understands the dire circumstances it faces and is narrowing his travels almost exclusively to Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Missouri, Colorado and Nevada. If he carries those states, while losing only Iowa and New Mexico from the GOP's 2004 total, Mr. McCain will carry 274 Electoral College votes and the White House. It's threading the needle, but it's come to that.

This task, while not impossible, will be difficult.

There's a lot of negativity out there, and I think in some cases it comes down to ego: people would prefer to be proven correct, and they cannot help but keep track of the polls, biased as these may be.

That isn't how you win. You win by winning, not by throwing negativity around.

American people trust McCain in a way that they do not trust "Senator Government" (a big "thank you" here to Senator McCain's unconscious mind). The race will be be razor-thin, but McCain will still take it.

h/t: Hot Air.

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He says, "a plague on both your houses."

And who can blame him?

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Right here.

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And he's fun and cuddly, too! He appears to travel around with a friend a lot of the time. (Is that Mrs. Squirrel? And how big is the extended squirrel family?)

Harry Smith of CBS talks to Mr. and Mrs. Squirrel about corruption in ACORN, and its troubling ties to Barack Obama throughout his political career.

Mr. Squirrel and his friends have a serious message, though:

We are a group of concerned squirrels traveling around the country in an effort to highlight Barack ObamaÂ’s relationship with ACORN, a group that is being investigated for wide-scale voter fraud. Some examples of ObamaÂ’s connections with ACORN include:

• The Obama campaign paying more than $800,000 to ACORN for Get-Out-The Vote efforts;

• the campaign having originally “misrepresented” the groupÂ’s work to the FEC;

• Obama having sought out and received the endorsement of ACORNÂ’s political arm during the Democratic Primary, The Woods Fund (on whose Board Of Directors Obama served);

• [Obama] having given almost $200,000 in grants to ACORN;

• Obama having directed Project Vote and later having taught classes for “future leaders identified by ACORN and the Centers for New Horizons”;

• Obama having been a member of a team of lawyers who represented ACORN in a suit against the state of Illinois.

To see read more about Senator ObamaÂ’s relationship with ACORN, visit Obama's Acorn Tree!

Okay! I will!

See? Even the most fervent Obama supporters have questions about ACORN!

Via Jonathan Martin, via Memeorandum.

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I always get a lot of search traffic this time of year for this classic Planck's Constant post. It originally ran two years ago, and it's got some great ideas/fine gourd-based artwork in it.*

* Okay. I don't think pumpkins are gourds, though I know that gourds were used in previous incarnations of the tradition. (My understanding is that root vegetables were carved in Ireland, which seems appropriate enough.) But "fine summer-squash-based artwork" seemed a bit unwieldy. Anyone have good ideas for recasting that last sentence in my entry? I don't seem to have any linguistic dexterity today.

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Iowahawk's hipster "guest columnists," wearing their "Sarah Palin Is a Cunt" T-shirts, lay it on the line:

Think about it. With Barack Obama in office, assholes like us will fade into a distant unpleasant memory. Don't get us wrong, we'll still be hanging around, probably as junior staffers in some federal arts agency. But you have our word on it -- we'll be practically invisible. No more C-word t shirts, no more intersection blockades, no more vandalism until the next election cycle. Nosirree, we'll be timid and well-behaved and quiet as church mice, working away on grant proposals. We think you will also be pleased to know that under Obama, negative news stories and the steady flow of shitty anti-American war movies will virtually disappear overnight.

We know what you're thinking -- "that sounds awesome, but what about the angry right wingers? Won't they suddenly start storming congressional hearings and vandalizing military recruiting stations? Won't they start producing Obama assassination fantasy plays at the local college?" Don't worry, as members of the incoming Administration, we will identify any potential troublemakers and prosecute them to the full extent of President Obama's new civility laws. And with the re-establishment of the Fairness Doctrine, you won't have to worry about accidentally tuning into right wing hate radio.

But it's a democracy, so by all means feel free to vote for McCain. But don't forget what we're capable of. Do you really think we'll give it a rest? Do you really think we've pegged our ugly-o-meter? Hey, friend-o, you ain't seen nothin' yet.

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An ACORN Production.

First up: Dan of Gay Patriot, whose state-by-state scorecard reads like a "who's who" of swing states. Odd, that.

Gateway Pundit has more, here and here.

Via Jeff Goldstein, who writes:

Remember, though: before you get all ‘whiney’ and whatnot, most of those who have been fraudulently signed up to vote will probably be too drunk or hopped up from huffing aerosal to vote anyway. So, like, what’s the big deal? If anything, the “intense scrutiny” brought about by these allegations of voter fraud are likely to hurt the Democrats, who are the ones engaging in it, so who are you to complain?

I mean, this is none of your business, really, is it?

So please, can’t we just move past this procedural nonsense, wingnuts, and get on to the issues? It’s like all you conservatives care about is “fairness” — which, as those of you who’ve read your Stanley Fish realize, is but another of those right wing code words meant to maintain bourgeois status quo based on Enlightenment ideas that have been successfully coopted and owned by the white power establishment. The only “fairness” is to break from the pernicious ruse of fairness.

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But I cannot quite reconcile the notion that he has conservative or libertarian ideals, and still endorses Obama. Those two ideas simply don't go together.

AllahP thinks there's something not quite right about the break between Chris and National Review; like Ace, I'm fine with it. Though, perhaps, as usual, less brutal and less gleeful in my brutality. (That's why people read Ace, but do not read me. That, and his habit of "accidentally" downloading lesbian pron from time to time onto AoSHQ.)

Buckley is a great writer—and can be funny in a way that his dad never was—but isn't entitled to write a column in a magazine with a different ideology simply on the basis of his last name.

I don't want to sound mean, but no media organ is equivalent to an Ivy League school, where family connections matter more than nearly anything else.

Buckley's got talent, and he'll do fine. I don't think he was a terrific match for National Review, and I'm sure his erstwhile editors were just as sad as he was when it came time to part ways.

And, no,Ace: I don't buy that he did it just to get a property sold.

And, no, AllahP: I'm fine with having people in the tent who can't manage to pull the lever for McCain. I wish they would, for the sake of the WoT, but it isn't mandatory. Not everyone's going to have the stomach for that—particularly those who focus on immigration from a law-and-order standpoint, or on an economic basis.

My opposition to open borders is strictly a national security thing. Other than that, I'm pretty much a wetback-digger. Okay, I lied: I actually think that there is tremendous discrimination against Canadians, and those who aren't From the Americas. I'd love to see a system in place that respects freedom and capitalism, yet doesn't let a lot of people "cut in line." Unfortunately, that would require asking an American bureaucracy to do its job in an even-handed way, and with alacrity/competence.

What I would see as mandatory for a National Review writer would be not endorsing a corrupt socialist for the highest office in the land.

So it is a sad moment. But it was time.

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1 You might like Vox's take. Dude, we're not in "line world". There are other dimensions (and other candidates) besides left-right.

Posted by: Desert Cat at October 15, 2008 07:07 AM (6go9w)

2 Personally, I think it's the absolute perfect time to split with the Republican party if you hold 'conservative ideals.' Bush and Paulson's plan has got to be the least conservative thing that this non-conservative administration has ever done, hasn't it? Scratch that, the perfect time for conservatives to split with Republicans was in 2001.

Posted by: Levi at October 15, 2008 07:24 AM (UPHC3)

3 I read Buckley's article and the first thing Ithought was he's just another elitist. And he's fooling himself. He thinks you have to go to an Ivy League school to be president, just like some of my democrat friends. They believe strongly in credentialism. And Obama has jumped through the credential hoops. And Palin has not. So she can't possibly be qualified. And Buckley assumes that Obama won't do half of what he's promising, because Buckley is sure he'll do "the right thing" when he gets into office, because he's pedigreed. So basically, he's an elitist supporting someone he thinks is lying. Not really an argument I'm willing ot be swayed by.

Posted by: silvermine at October 16, 2008 10:45 AM (qsBMy)

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I mean, I don't mind cunt that much, and I'm not sure we do ourselves any favors by pretending that we are somehow physically harmed when someone uses it.

I've always gotten along just fine with my cunt. I get along just fine with my niggahz, too.

But to answer the larger question: Yes. Obama is perfectly willing to reap the benefits of sexism, just as McCain is perfectly willing to reap the benefits of female anger over same.

And, as most of you know, McCain's got a lot more female advisors than Obama (starting with his wife, his daughters, and his running mate).

And his campaign staffers are paid more, on average, whereas Obama's female staffers are paid less. Whaddya mean, the mainstream media didn't tell you that one?

Did they tell you Palin supports equal rights for same-sex domestic partnerships? Did they tell you she thinks distribution of condoms in high schools (and mention of same in sex-ed classes) is fine? Did they tell you she never took any action to restrict access to abortion in Alaska? Did they tell you that the charge about her allowing rape victims to be billed for evidence collection turned out to be a lie?

No? Hm. Either they're getting increasing lackadaisical, or they're in the tank for Obama. Wonder which one it is. Toughie.

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